Re: Chinese Coronavirus
Originally Posted by
Zuleika
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A massive over reaction?
Have you thought on who the two tourists taken from the York hotel might have infected since they landed in the UK and how many they in turn might have passed the virus on to ?
That is what the "R0" or R Naught ratiio is all about.
When the SARS scare was about some years ago the SARS virus began with an R0 of 3 which meant that everyone with SARS was infecting 3 other people. They later got that ratio down to an R0 of just 0.4.
The SARS scare was just that. A scare which only affected a tiny tiny % of the global population.
This Coronavirus is STARTING OUT with an R0 of just 1.5
It is thus way way less of a concern than SARS was and they are already undertaking very significant actions to curtail any further spread so you can expect that the R0 for Coronavirus will soon be much lower.
The truth is very much that this entire episode has been hyped up beyond all proportion for very deliberate reasons.
The virus has a low R0 and even when people do get the virus 97% of people deal with it quite normally and recover well.
You should be more concerned about getting pneumonia or any of a number of other everday condition which kill THOUSANDS every year. Coronavirus has only killed just over 100 people and doubtless many of those were already old and infirm people with poor immune systems who might just as easily have died from a cold or flu.
It's all a storm in a teacup which will blow over very soon.
Be more worried about why it happened in the first place and where it came from imo.