Re: Syrian War
Originally Posted by
Rainmaker
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Sorry Mort. Although no directed at you solely, my remark was a bit tactless and childish. Possibly because I don't deal with long winded posts very well (again not you). Posts which list supposed facts lifted from various sympathetic sources and appear to support the poster's view. Life is too short to wade through all the overkill in attempt to check or rebutt it. I run out of patience. I usually say what I think and move on. I didn't mean to offend, I often find much to agree with in your posts.
Then please accept my apologies for jumping the gun and mistakenly jumping on you.
I tend to make long ....long ... and even very long posts myself to get a point over. I can woffle.
I'm glad you haven't left the thread. Discussion is good. I love it.
I admit we could be at risk of getting bogged down here.
To break it down.
Syria is the battleground of the ME.
Previous hardmen have been removed due to regime change instigated by the West.
Whilst exacerbated by Isis and his own Civil War (which is really no ones business but Assad's anyway), the war in Syria is really just the next chapter in the war for control of the ME. To protect Western and Russian interests.
I'm trying to avoid sounding like a conspiracy theorist fan here
During the Iraq-Iran War (1980's) Saddam was an ally of the US. The USA was well aware he had used chemical weapons against the Kurds in Halabja. They did nothing. The prime objective was to curtail Iranian expansion.
There was no outcry against Saddam until he was no longer a profitable friend ... and he became the enemy after invading Kuwait. As an enemy he was then accused of war crimes, genocide and the hunt began for weapons of mass destruction.
(The US themselves used white phosphorous in Iraq).
During the Gulf War ... Syria was part of the coalition and an ally of the West.
Assad is now seen as a 'bad boy' guilty of using chemical weapons and regime change looks an attractive option to the West.
Whilst fighting his own rebels, he has fought Isis and has recently made a stand against Turkey's invasion into Syria in defence of the Kurds ( Kurds who are allies of the West).
Despite this .. Assad is still considered an enemy, possibly due to his connection and allegiance to Iran who are also Shia Muslims. Assad in an Alawite, a minority but also Shia.
So where will the next chapter of the war for the ME be?
A carved up Syria? Assad cannot feasibly expect to hold and rule anything other than a country with diminished territory and shrunken borders.
Will it be Turkey versus the Kurds who want their own State.
The one no one wants is a war between Iran and Israel .. the latter who have recently hinted at a coalition with the Saudis if only to deal with their common enemy of Iran.
Iran ... friend of Russia... friend of Assad.
The changing political allegiances and are like a cobweb.
Can anyone keep up with the expediency of 'friend today, enemy tomorrow' and dumping of Heads of State.
Of course, unsurprisingly, the meddlers with the longest arms like Russia and the USA are the ones who live to fight another day. Fighting their own proxy wars.
In some instances, as with Putin over Syria, it helps steady that dangerous pendulum swinging erratically to all out war ... whilst at others, like Iraq since it's liberation ... it can leave a void which is filled by extremists who declare themselves a Caliphate and butcher innocents both in the ME and in Europe.
It's land grab pure and simple, fuelled by discordant religions and vying tribes.
I shudder to imagine what the ME will look like in 20 or 30 years time.. and hope the bloody oil and gas runs out first. It's far too costly in lives. Arms sales will plummet overnight. The world might look away, bored, uninterested, and the desert will be crammed with simple folk peacefully jogging home from work on their camels.
Boy, I did a long one ...again!