Re: Breaking - Boris Shutsdown Parliament ..
Originally Posted by
shropshiregirl
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Hope someone puts me in the picture if I am wrong.
My understanding of this at the moment is that if the cockroaches put through a motion of no confidence and win, they would still have to find a unity figure of someone to replace him. Good luck with that one!. Surely all Boris has to do if he loses the no confidence vote is to then call a General Election for after 1st November and he would be forced by the no confidence vote, to leave on the 31st October with no-deal.
So not really a front-runner I would imagine.
Their only other option seems to be via the legislative route by bringing in a new law to stop the suspension of Parliament, but they won’t have time for that to go through and will be left with only their original option of a no confidence vote.
which leaves them up the creek without a paddle, surely?
The upshot of a vote of no confidence is that it could well end up triggering a general election that takes place after 31 October, meaning that a vote of no confidence on its own provides no guarantee against a no-deal Brexit.
If boris were to lose a vote of confidence and if, within the 14-day window established by the FTPA, another viable government were to emerge. (a cross-party government) he has to leave downing street 10.
But to actually do so may take time, and on october 30 the UK is thrown out of the EU.
However, next week parliament can legislate along the lines of the Cooper-Letwin Bill by requiring the pm to seek an extension of the Article 50 period. However, this would not provide any guarantees, since it would be for the European Council to decide whether to accede to such a request. Legislation that went no further than requiring the government to seek an extension would thus reduce the likelihood of, but would not rule out, a no-deal Brexit.
But, next week, or even in october, after prorogueation, parliament could legislate to revoke Article 50. Of course, politically many mps would balk at such a prospect, but such legislation would be the best means by which parliament could absolutely guarantee against a no-deal brexit.
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So, the race is not run, not by a long way.