Re: Today on Brexit Central, Austin Mitchell Nails it Again !
Originally Posted by
gascony
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Man, you have zero idea of how the world works. Your little diatribe is an anti-EU rant of pure fantasy. Where to start dismantling your notions?
Well, perhaps the issue that the UK is not going to ratchet up tariffs. The opposite will happen. Then there is the issue that after a no deal exit (or to agree a with deal exit) the UK will try make cross EU border trade as easy as possible. Again, not add in tariffs.
Then even if we do as you wildly suggest and slap taxes on german cars (and pressure washers I guess) then we will buy japanese or US cars - which retains the trade deficit, just moves it to other countries. You solve nothing. And don't think those can afford an expensive german car will not buy that expensive german car just because it is a few percent more expensive. It is not binary.
And your grasp of the world's financial markets is clearly limited. De-regulation does not necessarily mean more activity. It means more risky activity. And you welcome that? Don't you recall 2008? There are two global currencies - dollar and euro. That will remain post Brexit. London succeeded because the UK got to trade in the euro and was US banking friendly. Post Brexit we only get the second part of this equation.
Your overall argument is one of "the EU is about to fail". This was hashed over in various forms in 2016 (economic collapse, Frexit & Nexit imminent, etc.). All of which was shown not to be true. You need a better argument to leave the EU than "look, I've a crystal ball which shows the EU falling over" and "I'd prefer a trade deficit with another country please".
Here come the insults ... how predictable...
anyway ...
Why would we lower tarrifs on car imports when we make Toyotas, Nissans over here and want to protect our UK workers. In fact we make more cars out of the Nissan factory in Sunderland than the whole of Italy ... incidentally, Sunderland, voted leave
That's the WTO for you - thats what its for - to protect markets, enable fair trade and to facilitate trade disputes.
As for financial deregulation - you're going from one extreme to another. The deregulation is mostly getting rid of EU red tape and beurocracy, making financial services to take true advantage of fintec, making them more agile, leaner and efficient. You can't do that when you are in the EU and bound by their rules. Remember, the Eurozone still hasn't recovered from 2008 which is why Draghi and (convicted criminal) Christine Lagarde (she's new !) are saying "whatever it takes" - meaning more QE to stop the currency imploding, while wages will stay low becuase inflation will stay low - a recipe for stagnation, more QE, more debt and no solution to your unemployment woes. The tragedy of having a common currency with no central treasury ... another brilliant idea from people who apparently "know how the world works" (and try saying that to Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain)
Marine Le Penn is more popular that Macron according to French polls, and the biggest national party in the EU Parliament is the Brexit Party. Sweden, Italy, Hungary, Denmark, Greece take huge leaps towards eurosceptisism and this means, unfortunately for you, the writing is on the wall - it has been since 2008. The UK is already leaving the EU and the new joiners to the EU will be Macedonia and Albania ... no wealthy countries here to pick up where the UK left off. I can't see them buying 800,000 German cars a year either
But fear not, here comes Ursula van der Leyen, the most unpopular politician in Germany, graduating to the most unpopular politician in Europe who promises to make the next 5 years of EU membership way more miserable for the 27 and more expensive than under Mr Juncker
When a single market wants its own army, its not for war. Its for controlling its people. Just bear that in mind when your national vetoes get replaced by QMV and the common asylum policy comes into force. It will be Denmark next, then Italy, then Sweden.
We will be watching from the sidelines ... laughing