Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU
Originally Posted by
Bread
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But you don't include services in your calculations.
The UK is now a third country and consequently UK-registered financial firms have lost the right, or passport, to seamlessly offer their services anywhere in the EU single market. They now have no better access to that market than their peers in other third countries such as Japan, Singapore, or the United States.
In some (though far from all) segments of the financial sector,
firms from these other third countries currently have better single market access than British ones. This is because these market segments are covered by a category known in EU law as equivalence decisions, by which the European Commission allows direct service provision by firms in the third country whose regulatory framework of the market segment it deems ‘equivalent’. Equivalence decisions are at the Commission’s discretion. Unlike the single market passport,
equivalence is a privilege not a right, and can also be revoked at short notice. So far the Commission has not granted the UK any such segment-specific equivalence, except in a time-limited manner for*securities depositories*until mid-2021 and*clearing services*until mid-2022. For the moment the Commission appears to lean*against*making the latter permanent, but it is too early to be sure.
In most other market segments, it appears improbable that the Commission will grant equivalence to the UK in the foreseeable future. Although this may appear counterintuitive, since almost all current UK regulations stem from the existing*EU body of law, the expectation is the UK authorities will diverge as they (not least the*Bank of England) have declined to make commitments to the contrary.
Moreover, it would be understandable for the Commission to aim at reducing the EU’s dependence on the City of London. There has been no comparable dependence on an offshore financial centre anywhere in recent financial history. Keeping that level of dependence would entail financial stability risk, because in some crisis scenarios, the aims of UK authorities would not necessarily be aligned with EU aims.*