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Solasch
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11-04-2021, 05:33 PM
331

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Bread ->
But you don't include services in your calculations.

Why is that?

Just remember a drop in exports to the EU does not mean a drop to the rest of the world.
Total imports of goods from non-EU countries, excluding non-monetary gold and other precious metals, fell by £2.4 billion (12.7%) in January 2021 while exports increased by £0.2 billion (1.7%). https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/natio...de/january2021
Banchory
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11-04-2021, 06:14 PM
332

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Bread ->
But you don't include services in your calculations.

Why is that?

Just remember a drop in exports to the EU does not mean a drop to the rest of the world.
How about you tell me how well our finance sector is doing?
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11-04-2021, 06:17 PM
333

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Bread ->
Just remember a drop in exports to the EU does not mean a drop to the rest of the world.
Not wishing to argue the toss with them, but you raise a very valid point.

I should expect a reduction in our exports to, and dealings in general with, the EU. After all, we have left their club.

Surely, as a 'third country' now, we would be expected to deal more with the world than limit ourselves to the EU.
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11-04-2021, 06:29 PM
334

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Bread ->
But you don't include services in your calculations.
The UK is now a third country and consequently UK-registered financial firms have lost the right, or passport, to seamlessly offer their services anywhere in the EU single market. They now have no better access to that market than their peers in other third countries such as Japan, Singapore, or the United States.

In some (though far from all) segments of the financial sector, firms from these other third countries currently have better single market access than British ones. This is because these market segments are covered by a category known in EU law as equivalence decisions, by which the European Commission allows direct service provision by firms in the third country whose regulatory framework of the market segment it deems ‘equivalent’. Equivalence decisions are at the Commission’s discretion. Unlike the single market passport, equivalence is a privilege not a right, and can also be revoked at short notice. So far the Commission has not granted the UK any such segment-specific equivalence, except in a time-limited manner for*securities depositories*until mid-2021 and*clearing services*until mid-2022. For the moment the Commission appears to lean*against*making the latter permanent, but it is too early to be sure.

In most other market segments, it appears improbable that the Commission will grant equivalence to the UK in the foreseeable future. Although this may appear counterintuitive, since almost all current UK regulations stem from the existing*EU body of law, the expectation is the UK authorities will diverge as they (not least the*Bank of England) have declined to make commitments to the contrary.

Moreover, it would be understandable for the Commission to aim at reducing the EU’s dependence on the City of London. There has been no comparable dependence on an offshore financial centre anywhere in recent financial history. Keeping that level of dependence would entail financial stability risk, because in some crisis scenarios, the aims of UK authorities would not necessarily be aligned with EU aims.*
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11-04-2021, 06:36 PM
335

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by JBR ->
Not wishing to argue the toss with them, but you raise a very valid point.

I should expect a reduction in our exports to, and dealings in general with, the EU. After all, we have left their club.

Surely, as a 'third country' now, we would be expected to deal more with the world than limit ourselves to the EU.
Very wise advice jbr, but not yet grasped by the people who have to act on it. A £5.6 billion fall in exports to the EU is not compensated by exports increased by £0.2 billion to the rest of the world..
Perhaps you should increase trade with your (former) colonies?
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11-04-2021, 07:21 PM
336

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by JBR ->
Not wishing to argue the toss with them, but you raise a very valid point.

I should expect a reduction in our exports to, and dealings in general with, the EU. After all, we have left their club.

Surely, as a 'third country' now, we would be expected to deal more with the world than limit ourselves to the EU.
And therein lies the problem. We always could export to the rest of the world and did so but the supposed Brexit bonus was that we would be able to negotiate more advantageous trading terms and agree our own FTA’s but in practice that hasn’t really happened and the much touted FTA with the US has seen us go to the back of the queue as Obama warned.

Many of our exporters are SME’s and losing unfettered access to the largest, closest market is not always replaceable with distant markets due to logistics and costs so their only option is to set up satellites in the EU, providing the EU with jobs and tax revenue at the expense of the UK. Is that what you expected?
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11-04-2021, 07:42 PM
337

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Banchory ->
satellites in the EU, providing the EU with jobs and tax revenue at the expense of the UK. Is that what you expected?
Expected? Of course not, boris, davis, gove, frost you name them all promised mountains of gold. Greed not only directed the vaccine purchase as boris proclaimed, but the referendum vote too!
And please don't deny it was greed, because then it was immigration, indicating britain to be xenophobic.....
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12-04-2021, 02:55 AM
338

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Solasch ->
As a result the UK can never get a trade deal as good as what they had as member of the EU.
That's an interesting point. Australia is looking more and more unlikely to sign an FTA with the EU for several reasons. The EU is less attractive to Australia without the UK, the EUs attitude on Climate Change Policy, Italian tinned tomatoes, Greek cheese to name but a few.

So a UK agreement with Australia would not affect the terms of any FTA with the EU because there isn't one..

The only problem with this is that FTAs of any significance tend to be signed between countries is a similar geographic location (TPP, ASEAN, TAFTA, MAFTA ACI-FTA , PACER etc)

Looking at a map the biggest and most important trading partner in the UK's geographic area is the EU!
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12-04-2021, 08:38 AM
339

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by Bruce ->
That's an interesting point. Australia is looking more and more unlikely to sign an FTA with the EU for several reasons. The EU is less attractive to Australia without the UK, the EUs attitude on Climate Change Policy, Italian tinned tomatoes, Greek cheese to name but a few.
Good morning, can you please provide a link that supports your assesment? From
https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/do...doc_159518.pdf

(link from https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/pr...ex.cfm?id=1865)

I cannot find anything that supports your assessment. Thank you in advance.
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12-04-2021, 09:08 AM
340

Re: The Vindictive Nastiness if the EU

Originally Posted by 7779311 ->
Good morning, can you please provide a link that supports your assesment? From
https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/do...doc_159518.pdf

(link from https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/pr...ex.cfm?id=1865)

I cannot find anything that supports your assessment. Thank you in advance.
Hi

Your link refers to talks held before the EU starting playing silly idiots with vaccine exports.

The Aussies are not happy now and they will retaliate.
 
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