Re: Dido Harding will face MPs on Wednesday 3 February
Contact tracing may cut the coronavirus R rate by
as little as 2%, Test & Trace chief Dido Harding admits in letter to MPs
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ng-admits.html
Baroness Harding said in a report to Parliament's science committee that the act of tracking down people who have been close to Covid-19 cases has only a '
relatively small' effect on the R rate of the virus.
The letter, published today, estimates that the UK's entire test, trace and isolate system would keep the R down by between 18 and 33 per cent in a scenario similar to October 2020, when there were an average of 19,000 cases per day.
It became less effective when the outbreak got bigger in November, December and January, and when the fast-spreading new variant took over, Baroness Harding admitted.
She said: 'The impact of contact tracing alone reduced the R number by 2-5% (with testing and self-isolation accounting for the remaining 16-28%).'
If the R rate were
0.9 – the maximum value for the UK now, as estimated by SAGE on Friday – a 2% reduction would cut it to
0.882. A
5% drop would cut it to
0.855.
In a report published alongside the letter Test and Trace chiefs said it was unlikely the service would improve on this, saying: 'The impact of contact tracing is relatively small. Even with small changes or improvements to the model,
it is not expected that the impact of contact tracing will change drastically. It would remain of the same order of magnitude.'
The admission led critics to question whether NHS Test and Trace's eye-watering £22billion budget is good value for money.
TnT is patently a complete waste of money and "Incompetent" Harding is a complete waste of space .....
I suspect that even an independent investigation into TnT would fail to reveal worse figures - the £22,000,000,000 "service" has proved totally inconsequential .....