Re: Well fancy that ...
Originally Posted by
Bread
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The only way we will not crash out without a deal on 29 March is if the EU agree to our concessions.
My predictions
1. Withdrawal Bill - rejected by parliament because nothing has been changed
2. Extend A50 - rejected by Parliament - it means no Brexit and doesn't solve any problems
3. Vote against leaving with no deal - rejected by parliament because its not possible , the EU have to agree and the only way that will happen is if they cave in to our concessions (see above)
4. Leave the EU on 24th March using A24 of GATT
5. UK signs up 40 new FTAs within the first week of us leaving
6. Existing FTAs with the EU come under scrutiny (Japan, Canada and Singapore mainly) and tensions rise between them and the EU
There you go
Concessions have been made by the EU, stipulated by the UK's red lines.
My prediction:
March 12, the house votes down May's deal,
March 13 the house votes to rule out no deal option
March 14 the house votes to request an extension of article 50.
March 21 the EU commission vote to accept the request, after spain's demands to release gibraltar are aknowledged.
The extension is at first discussed to be ending on july, when the new european parliament is installed. On second thoughts this is date is advanced to may 23, the day of elections for the european parliament. This is based on legal advice. If extended past election date the citizens of the UK are denied the fundamental right to vote for representation in the european parliament.
Late april, early may, the house decides that the extension period is too short for a second referendum or general elections. Faced with this inevitabilty the house decides to revoke article 50.
By this time UK citizens have more important things to think of (where to spent the vacation), and are only too glad brexit is over.
How does that sound?