27-10-2020, 11:39 PM
11
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
Originally Posted by Morticia
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Hmmm ... I couldn't answer what my blood group was as I don't know it, so it didn't give me a result.
I'm not sure if you can just have a test on the NHS to find out. I found what mine was when I first gave blood many years ago. You could do that!
They don't pay you for it, of course, but you do get a free cup of tea and a biscuit!
27-10-2020, 11:39 PM
12
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
Originally Posted by Morticia
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Ah, there's a thought. I'll fill in the common 0 then just to see what it says.Survival Probability
Infection Risk 5%
Mortality Risk If Infected 0.366%
Survival Probability 99.982%
I say .. that's a good survival risk ... must be because I filled in that I'd quit smoking.
27-10-2020, 11:43 PM
15
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
Originally Posted by Pesta
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I get the impression it's American although at the bottom it says Nexoid UK.I'm unsure about the survival calculator ... just because I don't tend to trust these type of predictability things anyway.
I'll let you know what happens
Oh yes. You should definitely let us know if you don't survive Pesta.
27-10-2020, 11:49 PM
16
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
Originally Posted by JBR
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Yes, I'm sure it's American, due to the poor spelling!Oh yes. You should definitely let us know if you don't survive Pesta.
27-10-2020, 11:49 PM
17
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
I was a little curious ( and with time on my hands), so I did it again and filled in that I was a 70 year old woman who was 5 foot 3 inches tall and weighed 10 stone, smoked over 20 cigarettes a day, drank alcohol every other day, used public transport 5 times in the last week, was a high earner, black, not born in this country .... only sometimes wore a face mask, didn't bother to wash my hands or social distance, had diabetes, high blood pressure and a lung condition .... and the result wasSurvival Probability
Infection Risk 38%
Mortality Risk If Infected 2.965%
Survival Probability 98.873%
Interestingly, though my possible infection rate had increased from 5 % to 38% my survival rate was still damn good.
If I was of a cynical nature I'd wonder why we're all running around like headless chickens.
But as I'm not ... I shan't.
28-10-2020, 12:27 AM
18
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
Originally Posted by Morticia
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Interestingly, though my possible infection rate had increased from 5 % to 38% my survival rate was still damn good.If I was of a cynical nature I'd wonder why we're all running around like headless chickens.
But as I'm not ... I shan't.
I suspect that most, if not all of them were probably already ill or otherwise compromised.
28-10-2020, 01:12 AM
19
Re: Covid-19 survival calculator
AFAIK, in the UK, death is no longer the greatest risk from COVID-19. Back in May, there were, for example, 5,000 reported cases of COVID-19 infection and 1,000 reported associated deaths a day. Currently, there are, on average, 22,000 reported cases of COVID-19 infection and 200 reported associated deaths a day.The greatest risk, now, is contracting COVID-19 and not making a full recovery, i.e. continuing to suffer from debilitating symptoms for weeks, even months and, possibly, years. As the number of recorded infections in the UK rises towards 1,000,000, the estimated number of "long COVID" sufferers is over 10,000 and likely to rise to 100,000 by March 2021.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54296223
There is no medical definition or list of symptoms shared by all patients - two people with long Covid can have very different experiences. However, the most common feature is crippling fatigue.
Others symptoms include: breathlessness, a cough that won't go away, joint pain, muscle aches, hearing and eyesight problems, headaches, loss of smell and taste as well as damage to the heart, lungs, kidneys and gut.
Mental health problems have been reported including depression, anxiety and struggling to think clearly.
Long Covid is not just people taking time to recover from a stay in intensive care. Even people with relatively mild infections can be left with lasting and severe health problems.
"We've got no doubt long Covid exists," Prof David Strain, from the University of Exeter, who is already seeing long-Covid patients at his Chronic Fatigue Syndrome clinic, told the BBC.
Coronavirus: Specialist 'long Covid' clinics to be set up in England
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54449145
The risks to health from "long COVID" have recently increased because, apparently, levels of protective antibodies in people wane "quite rapidly" after coronavirus infection and there is a risk of catching the virus multiple times.
Covid: Antibodies 'fall rapidly after infection'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54696873
"Surviving" may be good news ..... or bad .....
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