Re: &#@%!?
Originally Posted by
JBR
->
Exactly my point.
The individual countries want to trade competitively.
The EU don't want them to trade competitively.
The solution?
Leave!
Yep
The problem the 27 have is that their biggest market is within the 27 itself, so when one country gets hit with recession they all feel the impact - economies get hit at the same time. Look at the EU quantitive easing since the 2010 crash, this was supposed to solve unemployment and their economic problems - it didn't work. It was supposed to have been stopped years ago (like the UK, USA etc) but instead, its continuous and perpetual.
The disaster for the EU though is not just the constant QE (which is basically, debt through German bonds as the member states do not have their own individual central banks - only the ECB), resulting in the creation of an EU zombie economy.
The QE has created "fake demand" by constantly pumping money into the economy and its only the QE that makes many businesses from going to the wall. As soon as QE stops, so does this "fake demand" and thousands of zombie companies will collapse over night like a house of cards.
German savers have had their pensions and savings decimated because of low interest rates as a result of the constant QE by the ECB. They are not happy, I can tell you.
Now, faced with the impending disaster, the ECB manages to push through €750 billion of mutualised debt - the frugal 4 who have been pushing back for so long finally gave in, understanding that it was only going to be a "one off". However, already the commission is talking about phase 2 of debt mutualisation, which they can do whenever they want, because the commission wrote into the agreement that by doing so, the 27 give the commission free reign to borrow on the capital markets on their behalf for the next 50 years or so. This is a horror about to unfold in the next few months - mark my words
The Euro is in a death spiral, the other currencies in the EU which are locked into it through the customs union and the single market know very well that when the Euro collapses they will take them down with it.
Thank God we are out of this mess.